Thursday, December 09, 2004

Hudson Rumblings

Take it for what it's worth, but supposedly Ken Rosenthal (The Sporting News) and Dan Patrick (ESPN) are both saying that the Cardinals are close to making a trade for Tim Hudson. Rotoworld.com has some theoretical particulars, but I'm not sure where they got them from. For now, let's ignore who the Cardinals may or may not be giving up and talk about Tim Hudson.

Hudson, a right hander, was 12-6 with a 3.53 ERA for Oakland last season, and his ERA+ of 133 would have made him the best starter on the Cardinal staff. He has led the Oakland staff in ERA 3 of the last 4 seasons, finishing in the top 10 in the league 5 years in a row. Additionally, his ERA+, WHIP, and complete games has been in the top 10 four years in a row.

From a "power pitching" standpoint, he finished in the top 10 in the AL in strikeouts the 4 years previous to 2004. That could in fact make him the power pitcher the Cardinals have been looking for. Of course, the question is - why did his strikeout rate drop last season? What's more, why did he post a 6.23 ERA in September? If you will recall, he was getting plenty of Cy Young buzz last year until he finished the year with a whimper. Declining numbers combined with Billy Beane's willingness to trade him make me a bit nervous.

Overall, Hudson could be a great pickup. He'd be worse than Johnson, but cheaper and less of a risk. He'll turn 30 in July, and could be a prime candidate for a long term contract - should things work out, of course.

Other statistics of interest include

2 Comments:

At 4:24 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Personally, I'm a little scared of us trading for Hudson because I'm wondering what Beane knows the Cardinals don't. I mean, Beane always seems to sucker the people he makes trades with (or at least that's the way its reported) as the player he loses is washed up an he gets some cheap, effective youngster in the process.

But there don't seem to be any better options, so we may have to go for it.

 
At 2:06 AM, Blogger Jeff said...

Agreed, but Jocketty's pulled some rabbits out of hats in his day as well. Blake Stein? Kent Bottenfield? Mike Timlin? The man knows his stuff; I have plenty of faith in his operation.

 

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